Brisbane Lions v Essendon
2025-05-29 19:30:00 +10:00
Gabba

13.12

90

11.6

72

Brisbane Lions won by 18 points

IN

Johnson

Day-Wicks

Tsatas

Langford

McKay

Reid

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		84%	33 points	✓	15.3	0.75
Aggregate		83%	34 points	✓	15.5	0.73
Punters		92%	45 points	✓	26.5	0.89
		90%	47 points	✓	29.0	0.85
		90%	42 points	✓	24.0	0.84
		88%	38 points	✓	20.0	0.82
		88%	35 points	✓	17.2	0.81
		87%	41 points	✓	23.0	0.80
		87%	34 points	✓	16.0	0.79
		86%	38 points	✓	20.3	0.78
		86%	44 points	✓	26.0	0.78
		86%	32 points	✓	13.5	0.77
		85%	37 points	✓	19.4	0.77
		84%	37 points	✓	18.9	0.75
		83%	33 points	✓	15.2	0.73
		83%	35 points	✓	16.9	0.73
		83%	17 points	✓	1.0	0.73
		82%	33 points	✓	14.6	0.72
		82%	32 points	✓	13.9	0.71
		81%	36 points	✓	17.5	0.70
		81%	28 points	✓	10.0	0.70
		80%	32 points	✓	13.9	0.68
		80%	39 points	✓	21.0	0.67
		79%	27 points	✓	9.0	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	10.0	0.65
		77%	31 points	✓	12.7	0.63
		71%	13 points	✓	4.7	0.50
		68%	18 points	✓	0.4	0.44

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.