Sydney v Adelaide
S.C.G.
5.11
41
21.5
131
Adelaide won by 90 points
IN
Mitchell
Melican
McInerney
Florent
Wicks
Mills
OUT
IN
Smith
Walker
Laird
Taylor
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 86.4 | 0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 88.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 77.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 80.3 | 0.33 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 79.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 81.1 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 82.0 | 0.26 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 81.6 | 0.24 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 82.6 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 83.9 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 84.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 85.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 86.7 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 86.8 | 0.10 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 88.6 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 89.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 89.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 90.7 | -0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 91.5 | -0.05 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 93.6 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 94.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 93.5 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 95.7 | -0.14 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 95.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 95.7 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 1 point | ✗ | 91.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 94.8 | -0.20 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 95.9 | -0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.