Melbourne v Sydney
M.C.G.
19.17
131
12.6
78
Melbourne won by 53 points
IN
Lever
McDonald
OUT
IN
Mills
McLean
Adams
McInerney
Amartey
Francis
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 57.4 | -0.14 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 57.4 | -0.14 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 63.7 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 60.7 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 60.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 57.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 56.9 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 57.6 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 56.9 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 56.4 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 56.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 54.5 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 53.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 53.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 53.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 53.2 | -0.01 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 51.4 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 50.3 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.