Geelong v Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park
20.7
127
16.17
113
Geelong won by 14 points
IN
Clohesy
Stanley
Stewart
Dangerfield
Bowes
O'Sullivan
OUT
IN
Baker
Jones
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.1 | 0.21 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.09 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.40 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.37 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 3.4 | 0.31 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.3 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 7.6 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.2 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.1 | 0.14 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.9 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.8 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.6 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.3 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | -1 points | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.03 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.28 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.47 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.