Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions
M.C.G.
8.12
60
14.9
93
Brisbane Lions won by 33 points
IN
Gunston
Nash
Meek
Reeves
Dear
Macdonald
OUT
IN
Robertson
Berry
McKenna
Coleman
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 46.6 | -0.51 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 47.9 | -0.56 |
|
|
76% | 22 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -1.09 |
|
|
75% | 20 points | ✗ | 53.1 | -1.00 |
|
|
74% | 23 points | ✗ | 55.6 | -0.95 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 54.5 | -0.91 |
|
|
73% | 15 points | ✗ | 48.4 | -0.87 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 51.8 | -0.80 |
|
|
71% | 22 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.73 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 50.1 | -0.68 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 49.5 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 51.2 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 46.8 | -0.59 |
|
Punters
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 46.4 | -0.55 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 47.8 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 46.2 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 46.6 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 18 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 42.6 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 40.6 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 41.4 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.