Carlton v Greater Western Sydney
Docklands
12.10
82
17.8
110
Greater Western Sydney won by 28 points
IN
O'Farrell
Docherty
Fogarty
Acres
De Koning
Hollands
Pittonet
Boyd
Silvagni
Evans
OUT
IN
Rowston
Aleer
Callaghan
McMullin
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 34.7 | -0.25 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 36.6 | -0.31 |
|
|
72% | 17 points | ✗ | 45.2 | -0.84 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 45.7 | -0.68 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 43.2 | -0.56 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 41.3 | -0.53 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 39.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 15 points | ✗ | 42.8 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 38.2 | -0.41 |
|
|
61% | 6 points | ✗ | 34.4 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 38.1 | -0.37 |
|
Punters
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 36.7 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 37.9 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 36.8 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 34.4 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.8 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.6 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 34.1 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 1 point | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 28.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.