Essendon v Richmond
2025-05-23 19:40:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

11.15

81

8.10

58

Essendon won by 23 points

IN

Clarke

Guelfi

Gresham

Shiel

El-Hawli

Day-Wicks

OUT

IN

Gray

Ryan

Rioli

Nankervis

Balta

Lynch

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	20 points	✓	2.6	0.50
Aggregate		71%	20 points	✓	3.1	0.50
		87%	34 points	✓	11.3	0.80
		81%	30 points	✓	7.2	0.69
		79%	24 points	✓	1.1	0.67
		79%	27 points	✓	4.4	0.67
Punters		78%	24 points	✓	1.2	0.65
		78%	25 points	✓	2.0	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	3.4	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	2.1	0.61
		75%	21 points	✓	2.1	0.59
		72%	23 points	✓	0.4	0.53
		71%	23 points	✓	0.0	0.51
		71%	17 points	✓	6.2	0.50
		70%	26 points	✓	3.0	0.49
		70%	20 points	✓	3.5	0.49
		68%	12 points	✓	11.1	0.44
		67%	22 points	✓	1.0	0.43
		67%	19 points	✓	4.0	0.42
		66%	13 points	✓	10.0	0.40
		65%	15 points	✓	7.6	0.37
		65%	13 points	✓	9.6	0.37
		64%	13 points	✓	10.0	0.36
		62%	12 points	✓	11.1	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	13.0	0.31
		62%	11 points	✓	12.0	0.31
		59%	9 points	✓	13.6	0.25

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.