Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast
Gabba
9.12
66
7.7
49
Brisbane Lions won by 17 points
IN
McLachlan
McKenna
Payne
Lohmann
Morris
Tunstill
OUT
IN
Swallow
Long
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 4.2 | 0.37 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.30 |
|
|
78% | 25 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.65 |
|
|
78% | 25 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.63 |
|
|
74% | 19 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.57 |
|
|
72% | 24 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.53 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 1.8 | 0.50 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.41 |
|
|
65% | 8 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.38 |
|
Punters
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 4.9 | 0.38 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.35 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.4 | 0.30 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.4 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.8 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 9.1 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 9.1 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 10.4 | 0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 10.3 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 12.1 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 16.1 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 17.3 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.8 | -0.02 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.