Adelaide v Carlton
2025-05-03 16:15:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

16.14

110

7.8

50

Adelaide won by 60 points

IN

Berry

Butts

Smith

Fogarty

Hinge

Crouch

Murray

Draper

OUT

IN

Cowan

Young

Docherty

Cottrell

Williams

Silvagni

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		57%	6 points	✓	54.1	0.20
Aggregate		57%	6 points	✓	53.9	0.18
		64%	12 points	✓	48.2	0.35
		63%	17 points	✓	43.0	0.33
		62%	11 points	✓	48.6	0.31
		62%	9 points	✓	51.1	0.30
Punters		61%	10 points	✓	50.2	0.28
		60%	12 points	✓	48.0	0.26
		59%	8 points	✓	52.0	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	52.2	0.24
		59%	6 points	✓	54.5	0.23
		58%	8 points	✓	52.3	0.23
		57%	7 points	✓	52.6	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	54.0	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	53.0	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	52.6	0.19
		56%	1 point	✓	59.0	0.16
		55%	4 points	✓	56.4	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	55.6	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	55.5	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	55.0	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	56.3	0.13
		53%	3 points	✓	57.4	0.08
		53%	2 points	✓	58.1	0.07
		53%	1 point	✓	59.2	0.07
		53%	3 points	✓	57.5	0.07
		51%	1 point	✓	59.0	0.03
		50%	0 points	✓	59.6	0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.