Hawthorn v Richmond
2025-05-04 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

16.13

109

6.8

44

Hawthorn won by 65 points

IN

Jiath

Maginness

Breust

Scrimshaw

Amon

Mackenzie

OUT

IN

Balta

Gray

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		86%	40 points	✓	25.3	0.78
Aggregate		86%	39 points	✓	25.5	0.78
		93%	55 points	✓	10.0	0.90
		92%	44 points	✓	21.0	0.88
Punters		92%	47 points	✓	18.1	0.88
		91%	45 points	✓	20.4	0.87
		90%	46 points	✓	19.0	0.85
		89%	38 points	✓	27.3	0.83
		89%	44 points	✓	21.0	0.82
		88%	36 points	✓	29.1	0.82
		88%	44 points	✓	21.1	0.82
		88%	47 points	✓	18.0	0.82
		88%	46 points	✓	18.6	0.81
		88%	39 points	✓	26.5	0.81
		87%	42 points	✓	22.7	0.80
		87%	37 points	✓	28.0	0.79
		86%	37 points	✓	28.0	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	26.2	0.78
		86%	35 points	✓	30.3	0.78
		86%	35 points	✓	30.3	0.78
		85%	37 points	✓	28.1	0.77
		84%	37 points	✓	27.6	0.75
		83%	35 points	✓	30.2	0.73
		82%	39 points	✓	26.0	0.72
		82%	45 points	✓	20.0	0.71
		82%	25 points	✓	40.1	0.71
		81%	36 points	✓	28.6	0.69
		67%	17 points	✓	47.7	0.41

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.