Collingwood v Geelong
M.C.G.
12.15
87
13.12
90
Geelong won by 3 points
IN
Cox
Schultz
Moore
Howe
McStay
Sullivan
OUT
IN
Duncan
Stewart
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.4 | -0.29 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 12.3 | -0.34 |
|
|
71% | 16 points | ✗ | 18.9 | -0.76 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.72 |
|
|
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.59 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 18.9 | -0.59 |
|
Punters
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 15.9 | -0.52 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.4 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.2 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.41 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.1 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.2 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.2 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.7 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.7 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.2 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.5 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.