Hawthorn v Greater Western Sydney
2025-03-29 19:35:00 +11:00
York Park

10.16

76

9.10

64

Hawthorn won by 12 points

IN

Breust

Macdonald

OUT

IN

Stringer

Hogan

Briggs

Brown

Leake

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		63%	13 points	✓	1.1	0.34
Aggregate		62%	12 points	✓	0.1	0.32
		82%	28 points	✓	15.8	0.72
		79%	29 points	✓	17.0	0.66
		75%	23 points	✓	11.0	0.59
		72%	22 points	✓	10.4	0.53
		69%	17 points	✓	5.3	0.47
		68%	17 points	✓	4.6	0.45
		67%	16 points	✓	4.0	0.43
		67%	18 points	✓	6.0	0.42
		66%	13 points	✓	1.4	0.40
		65%	15 points	✓	3.4	0.38
Punters		63%	11 points	✓	1.1	0.34
		62%	10 points	✓	1.6	0.32
		61%	13 points	✓	0.5	0.28
		60%	13 points	✓	1.0	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.26
		59%	13 points	✓	1.0	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	5.5	0.23
		56%	6 points	✓	6.2	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	6.9	0.16
		55%	3 points	✓	8.9	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	7.7	0.13
		54%	4 points	✓	7.6	0.12
		54%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.12
		53%	3 points	✓	9.0	0.08
		50%	0 points	✓	11.7	0.01
		50%	0 points	✓	12.0	0.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.