Carlton v Western Bulldogs
Docklands
11.9
75
12.11
83
Western Bulldogs won by 8 points
IN
Evans
Boyd
Lord
Camporeale
OUT
IN
O'Donnell
Jones
Duryea
Jones
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.1 | 0.09 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.40 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 1.2 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 0.7 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.01 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 6.2 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 8.7 | -0.02 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 11.1 | -0.10 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 11.7 | -0.15 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 13.1 | -0.19 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.33 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 21.2 | -0.52 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.