Brisbane Lions v Geelong
2025-03-29 19:35:00 +11:00
Gabba

10.10

70

9.7

61

Brisbane Lions won by 9 points

IN

Fort

Lohmann

Cameron

McInerney

McKenna

McLachlan

OUT

IN

Smith

Stewart

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		61%	9 points	✓	0.0	0.28
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	2.5	0.32
		75%	24 points	✓	15.0	0.59
		75%	20 points	✓	10.7	0.58
		72%	25 points	✓	16.0	0.53
		69%	21 points	✓	12.0	0.46
		67%	1 point	✓	8.0	0.42
		67%	13 points	✓	4.3	0.42
		67%	16 points	✓	6.6	0.41
		65%	14 points	✓	4.5	0.39
Punters		65%	13 points	✓	3.5	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	3.1	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	4.9	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	3.0	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	4.1	0.33
		63%	17 points	✓	7.7	0.32
		62%	12 points	✓	2.5	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	1.2	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	0.0	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	0.1	0.27
		60%	13 points	✓	4.0	0.26
		59%	9 points	✓	0.4	0.25
		58%	11 points	✓	2.0	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	3.0	0.20
		55%	4 points	✓	5.5	0.12
		54%	3 points	✓	6.0	0.10
		50%	0 points	✓	9.0	0.00
		51%	1 point	✗	9.9	-0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.