Melbourne v Gold Coast
2025-03-29 13:20:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

8.14

62

18.12

120

Gold Coast won by 58 points

IN

Langford

Johnson

Billings

Melksham

May

Lever

Turner

Woewodin

Spargo

Jefferson

OUT

IN

Walter

Andrew

Flanders

Ballard

Ainsworth

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		52%	3 points	✓	55.3	0.07
Aggregate		55%	4 points	✓	53.6	0.13
		66%	15 points	✓	43.0	0.40
		65%	12 points	✓	45.6	0.38
		63%	12 points	✓	46.3	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	45.8	0.34
		63%	9 points	✓	48.5	0.33
		62%	12 points	✓	45.6	0.31
		61%	10 points	✓	48.0	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	47.7	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	48.9	0.27
		60%	8 points	✓	50.0	0.25
		58%	6 points	✓	52.0	0.21
		56%	6 points	✓	52.0	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	53.0	0.16
		55%	6 points	✓	52.3	0.13
Punters		54%	4 points	✓	54.3	0.10
		53%	4 points	✓	54.2	0.09
		53%	3 points	✓	55.3	0.09
		51%	1 point	✓	57.0	0.04
		51%	1 point	✗	59.2	-0.03
		52%	3 points	✗	61.0	-0.05
		53%	2 points	✗	59.5	-0.07
		53%	3 points	✗	61.0	-0.10
		56%	1 point	✗	59.0	-0.17
		57%	7 points	✗	64.5	-0.21
		57%	7 points	✗	64.9	-0.21
		58%	6 points	✗	64.1	-0.26

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.