Essendon v Port Adelaide
Docklands
9.18
72
8.12
60
Essendon won by 12 points
IN
El-Hawli
Ridley
Perkins
Tsatas
OUT
IN
Cochrane
Soldo
Ratugolea
Burton
Lukosius
Jones
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.13 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 16.2 | -0.12 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 5 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.4 | -0.28 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 19.8 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 20 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.20 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 17.8 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 15.7 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 15.2 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 14.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.08 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 9.9 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 11.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 8.7 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.3 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 9.1 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 8.6 | 0.11 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.3 | 0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.