Fremantle v Port Adelaide
Perth Stadium
9.13
67
13.9
87
Port Adelaide won by 20 points
IN
Walters
Banfield
OUT
IN
Visentini
Georgiades
Evans
Houston
Dixon
Narkle
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.02 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.00 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.6 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 26.8 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 26.9 | -0.21 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.7 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.7 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.1 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.3 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.11 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.8 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.7 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 13.6 | 0.20 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.25 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.