Carlton v St Kilda
Docklands
11.8
74
11.10
76
St Kilda won by 2 points
IN
Carroll
Fantasia
Saad
McGovern
Williams
Durdin
OUT
IN
Webster
Phillipou
Caminiti
Wilson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.4 | -0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.73 |
|
|
68% | 13 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.62 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 13.3 | -0.43 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.3 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.9 | -0.31 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.8 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.4 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.3 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.6 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 0 points | ✗ | 1.9 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.7 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.1 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.3 | -0.08 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.4 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.08 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.14 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.16 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.