Brisbane Lions v Essendon
2024-08-24 19:25:00 +10:00
Gabba

11.21

87

10.7

67

Brisbane Lions won by 20 points

IN

Answerth

Starcevich

OUT

IN

Guelfi

Stringer

Heppell

Menzie

Weideman

Roberts

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		78%	30 points	✓	9.6	0.64
Aggregate		80%	30 points	✓	10.4	0.68
		88%	42 points	✓	22.0	0.82
Punters		88%	38 points	✓	18.2	0.81
		87%	36 points	✓	15.6	0.79
		86%	38 points	✓	18.2	0.79
		84%	35 points	✓	15.2	0.75
		84%	34 points	✓	14.0	0.75
		84%	30 points	✓	10.0	0.74
		83%	36 points	✓	16.2	0.73
		83%	46 points	✓	26.0	0.72
		83%	30 points	✓	9.5	0.72
		82%	28 points	✓	8.0	0.71
		81%	22 points	✓	1.8	0.70
		81%	29 points	✓	9.0	0.70
		81%	38 points	✓	18.0	0.70
		80%	33 points	✓	13.0	0.68
		80%	30 points	✓	9.6	0.67
		80%	30 points	✓	9.6	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	8.4	0.67
		79%	27 points	✓	7.0	0.67
		78%	18 points	✓	2.0	0.65
		78%	29 points	✓	9.2	0.65
		77%	38 points	✓	18.0	0.63
		77%	27 points	✓	7.1	0.63
		77%	31 points	✓	10.6	0.62
		74%	22 points	✓	2.0	0.56
		72%	20 points	✓	0.1	0.53
		71%	18 points	✓	2.0	0.51
		69%	20 points	✓	0.2	0.46

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.