Sydney v Adelaide
2024-08-24 19:40:00 +10:00
S.C.G.

18.13

121

13.12

90

Sydney won by 31 points

IN

Francis

Fox

Warner

Heeney

McCartin

Warner

OUT

IN

Dowling

Borlase

Jones

Walker

Rankine

Rachele

Keane

Gollant

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	21 points	✓	10.1	0.51
Aggregate		71%	21 points	✓	10.4	0.51
		81%	33 points	✓	1.5	0.69
		81%	31 points	✓	0.0	0.69
		79%	26 points	✓	5.0	0.66
		78%	31 points	✓	0.0	0.64
		76%	21 points	✓	10.1	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	8.0	0.59
		75%	25 points	✓	6.0	0.58
		73%	21 points	✓	9.9	0.55
		73%	25 points	✓	5.8	0.55
		73%	18 points	✓	13.5	0.54
		72%	20 points	✓	11.1	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	10.1	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	10.0	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	11.3	0.51
		71%	16 points	✓	15.3	0.51
		71%	21 points	✓	10.0	0.51
Punters		71%	18 points	✓	12.8	0.50
		71%	28 points	✓	3.0	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	13.2	0.48
		70%	17 points	✓	14.2	0.48
		69%	16 points	✓	15.0	0.46
		68%	17 points	✓	13.7	0.45
		68%	23 points	✓	8.0	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	14.6	0.44
		66%	16 points	✓	14.8	0.39
		65%	19 points	✓	12.0	0.37
		63%	10 points	✓	20.6	0.33
		59%	5 points	✓	25.8	0.23

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.