Melbourne v Collingwood
M.C.G.
8.9
57
15.13
103
Collingwood won by 46 points
IN
Laurie
Woewodin
Turner
Lever
Sparrow
Chandler
OUT
IN
Allan
Dean
Macrae
Richards
Cox
Frampton
McStay
Long
Bytel
Parker
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 41.7 | 0.14 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 44.3 | 0.05 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 36.9 | 0.29 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 42.4 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 41.6 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 41.7 | 0.14 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 40.7 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 42.1 | 0.13 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 42.7 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 43.6 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 43.9 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 44.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 45.8 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 46.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 47.8 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 52.3 | -0.13 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 51.5 | -0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.