Gold Coast v Essendon
2024-06-02 16:00:00 +10:00
Carrara

14.7

91

11.14

80

Gold Coast won by 11 points

IN

Moyle

Graham

Fiorini

Flanders

Witts

Davies

Rogers

Johnston

OUT

IN

Bryan

Menzie

Hind

Goldstein

Davey Jnr

Caddy

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		60%	10 points	✓	1.4	0.26
Aggregate		61%	10 points	✓	1.4	0.28
		71%	18 points	✓	6.8	0.51
		69%	18 points	✓	7.0	0.46
		68%	17 points	✓	6.0	0.44
		68%	12 points	✓	1.2	0.44
		67%	15 points	✓	4.5	0.43
		66%	12 points	✓	0.7	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	2.0	0.40
		65%	14 points	✓	2.5	0.38
		65%	11 points	✓	0.2	0.37
		62%	16 points	✓	5.0	0.32
		62%	12 points	✓	0.7	0.31
		62%	9 points	✓	2.5	0.30
		61%	10 points	✓	1.0	0.30
		61%	14 points	✓	3.0	0.29
		61%	12 points	✓	1.0	0.29
		60%	8 points	✓	2.7	0.27
		60%	7 points	✓	4.0	0.26
		59%	8 points	✓	3.5	0.23
		59%	7 points	✓	4.0	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	4.4	0.22
		58%	7 points	✓	4.0	0.21
Punters		57%	6 points	✓	5.0	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	5.5	0.19
		55%	8 points	✓	3.0	0.14
		53%	3 points	✓	8.0	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	8.3	0.08
		52%	2 points	✓	9.1	0.05
		55%	4 points	✗	15.0	-0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.