Port Adelaide v Carlton
Adelaide Oval
10.11
71
16.11
107
Carlton won by 36 points
IN
Evans
Soldo
Dixon
Rozee
Rioli
Sweet
OUT
IN
Fantasia
Cowan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 45.8 | -0.34 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 45.1 | -0.30 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 55.7 | -0.78 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 52.6 | -0.76 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 53.5 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 48.7 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.53 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 46.3 | -0.41 |
|
Punters
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 45.5 | -0.35 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 46.3 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 43.6 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 44.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 42.2 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 11 points | ✗ | 47.5 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 11 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 39.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 40.6 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 39.9 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 39.1 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 38.2 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 36.8 | -0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.