Hawthorn v Adelaide
M.C.G.
16.11
107
12.8
80
Hawthorn won by 27 points
IN
Reeves
Meek
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 26.5 | 0.01 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 29.8 | -0.09 |
|
|
71% | 13 points | ✗ | 40.3 | -0.79 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 36.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 28.8 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 28.4 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 27.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 27.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 27.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 27.4 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 25.8 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.06 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 24.9 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 22.9 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 22.3 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 22.1 | 0.16 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.25 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.