Melbourne v Fremantle
Traeger Park
7.7
49
22.9
141
Fremantle won by 92 points
IN
Turner
van Rooyen
OUT
IN
Sturt
Frederick
Johnson
Emmett
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 101.4 | -0.32 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 102.1 | -0.35 |
|
|
71% | 13 points | ✗ | 104.5 | -0.76 |
|
|
68% | 20 points | ✗ | 111.6 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 108.0 | -0.61 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 105.1 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 106.4 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 105.1 | -0.55 |
|
Punters
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 102.0 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 104.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
62% | 17 points | ✗ | 109.0 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 102.4 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 105.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 100.4 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 103.6 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 100.1 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 100.9 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 101.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 106.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 104.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 101.3 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 99.9 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 100.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 99.6 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 12 points | ✗ | 104.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 99.6 | -0.23 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 96.1 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 94.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 92.8 | -0.04 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 92.0 | 0.00 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.