Collingwood v Western Bulldogs
Docklands
12.10
82
15.10
100
Western Bulldogs won by 18 points
IN
Bytel
Macrae
Johnson
Howe
Pendlebury
Mihocek
Richards
Allan
OUT
IN
O'Donnell
McNeil
Garcia
Lobb
Richards
Naughton
Scott
Sanders
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 15.6 | 0.07 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 17.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.32 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 9.3 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.3 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.16 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.4 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 12.4 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.3 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 13.6 | 0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 18.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 32.1 | -0.64 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.95 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.