Port Adelaide v Fremantle
2024-04-13 19:30:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

9.12

66

9.9

63

Port Adelaide won by 3 points

IN

Georgiades

Powell-Pepper

Wines

Finlayson

Boak

McEntee

OUT

IN

Erasmus

Frederick

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		74%	25 points	✓	21.6	0.57
Aggregate		71%	20 points	✓	16.7	0.50
		85%	39 points	✓	35.8	0.76
		81%	27 points	✓	23.8	0.70
		80%	27 points	✓	24.0	0.68
		79%	24 points	✓	20.6	0.65
		77%	26 points	✓	22.9	0.63
		77%	25 points	✓	22.2	0.62
Punters		77%	23 points	✓	19.8	0.62
		75%	24 points	✓	21.0	0.58
		74%	24 points	✓	20.7	0.57
		73%	22 points	✓	18.7	0.55
		73%	29 points	✓	26.0	0.54
		72%	21 points	✓	17.5	0.53
		70%	17 points	✓	14.0	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	14.9	0.48
		70%	17 points	✓	13.7	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	15.0	0.47
		69%	19 points	✓	16.0	0.46
		67%	16 points	✓	13.0	0.42
		66%	16 points	✓	12.6	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	14.0	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	13.5	0.40
		66%	10 points	✓	7.4	0.39
		64%	10 points	✓	7.0	0.36
		64%	18 points	✓	15.0	0.36
		64%	19 points	✓	16.0	0.36
		64%	10 points	✓	6.5	0.34
		61%	11 points	✓	7.8	0.28
		60%	10 points	✓	7.0	0.26

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.