Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda
Saturday 13 April 2024 at 3:45 am UTC
Manuka Oval

11.14

80

12.7

79

Greater Western Sydney won by 1 point

Greater Western Sydney
69%

IN

Garcia

Windhager

Jones

Hastie

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		69%	19 points	✓	17.6	0.46
Aggregate		70%	19 points	✓	18.2	0.49
		88%	34 points	✓	32.7	0.81
		85%	33 points	✓	32.0	0.77
		80%	30 points	✓	29.2	0.68
		80%	31 points	✓	30.0	0.68
		79%	28 points	✓	26.6	0.65
Punters		77%	23 points	✓	22.1	0.62
		76%	23 points	✓	22.0	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	24.4	0.61
		74%	18 points	✓	16.8	0.57
		73%	22 points	✓	21.0	0.54
		72%	18 points	✓	16.8	0.53
		72%	16 points	✓	14.8	0.52
		72%	18 points	✓	17.3	0.52
		71%	17 points	✓	15.5	0.50
		70%	27 points	✓	26.0	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	16.0	0.49
		70%	22 points	✓	21.0	0.49
		69%	18 points	✓	17.0	0.46
		66%	21 points	✓	20.0	0.40
		66%	17 points	✓	15.8	0.40
		64%	17 points	✓	16.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	11.0	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	10.2	0.33
		63%	16 points	✓	15.0	0.33
		62%	12 points	✓	10.6	0.31
		57%	7 points	✓	6.3	0.19
		56%	7 points	✓	6.0	0.16
		52%	2 points	✗	2.6	-0.05

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.