Carlton v Adelaide
Docklands
14.14
98
16.4
100
Adelaide won by 2 points
IN
Cottrell
Walsh
Cerra
Fogarty
OUT
IN
Gollant
Cook
Hamill
McHenry
Parnell
Burgess
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.67 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.7 | -0.69 |
|
|
87% | 40 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.89 |
|
|
76% | 21 points | ✗ | 23.3 | -1.05 |
|
|
76% | 21 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -1.03 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 26.4 | -1.03 |
|
Punters
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -1.02 |
|
|
75% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.97 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.88 |
|
|
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 25.2 | -0.81 |
|
|
71% | 17 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.78 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.8 | -0.73 |
|
|
69% | 24 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.68 |
|
|
69% | 15 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 19 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 18.1 | -0.64 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 20 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 13.6 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 19 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.52 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.9 | -0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.