Gold Coast v Hawthorn
2024-04-13 19:30:00 +10:00
Carrara

16.13

109

8.8

56

Gold Coast won by 53 points

IN

Macdonald

Butler

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		68%	18 points	✓	35.4	0.44
Aggregate		67%	15 points	✓	37.6	0.42
		79%	26 points	✓	27.2	0.66
		76%	22 points	✓	31.4	0.61
Punters		76%	23 points	✓	30.0	0.60
		75%	20 points	✓	33.4	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	31.0	0.57
		73%	30 points	✓	23.0	0.55
		72%	20 points	✓	33.0	0.52
		70%	17 points	✓	35.6	0.48
		69%	10 points	✓	43.0	0.47
		69%	24 points	✓	29.0	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	35.0	0.46
		69%	25 points	✓	28.0	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	36.1	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	37.7	0.45
		68%	14 points	✓	39.5	0.43
		67%	12 points	✓	41.4	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	38.0	0.43
		67%	16 points	✓	37.5	0.42
		66%	9 points	✓	44.5	0.40
		66%	16 points	✓	36.6	0.39
		63%	12 points	✓	41.4	0.34
		62%	12 points	✓	41.1	0.32
		60%	9 points	✓	44.0	0.26
		58%	7 points	✓	46.3	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	47.0	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	46.8	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	47.2	0.16
		54%	4 points	✓	49.0	0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.