Western Bulldogs v Essendon
Docklands
9.13
67
15.6
96
Essendon won by 29 points
IN
Darcy
O'Donnell
Daniel
Vandermeer
OUT
IN
Davey Jnr
Durham
Stringer
Perkins
Duursma
Setterfield
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 45.6 | -0.61 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 46.7 | -0.70 |
|
|
79% | 29 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -1.25 |
|
|
78% | 25 points | ✗ | 53.5 | -1.15 |
|
|
77% | 30 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -1.12 |
|
|
74% | 19 points | ✗ | 47.6 | -0.95 |
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 51.1 | -0.92 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.89 |
|
Punters
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.89 |
|
|
73% | 16 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.88 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.86 |
|
|
72% | 18 points | ✗ | 46.6 | -0.83 |
|
|
72% | 17 points | ✗ | 45.7 | -0.82 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 48.2 | -0.80 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
69% | 15 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 45.7 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 46.9 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 9 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 19 points | ✗ | 47.7 | -0.59 |
|
|
67% | 22 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.59 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 44.5 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 21 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 45.4 | -0.54 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 40.3 | -0.44 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 37.8 | -0.28 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.