Richmond v Port Adelaide
2024-03-24 16:00:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

13.14

92

18.14

122

Port Adelaide won by 30 points

IN

Lefau

Brown

Trezise

Banks

Mansell

Miller

Prestia

Broad

Hopper

Young

Gibcus

Rioli

OUT

IN

Burgoyne

Evans

Horne-Francis

McEntee

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		62%	11 points	✓	18.9	0.30
Aggregate		59%	9 points	✓	21.2	0.25
		78%	24 points	✓	6.2	0.64
Punters		70%	19 points	✓	11.5	0.48
		69%	16 points	✓	14.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	13.8	0.46
		65%	15 points	✓	15.4	0.38
		63%	12 points	✓	18.4	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	19.1	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	20.2	0.31
		62%	12 points	✓	18.0	0.31
		61%	10 points	✓	20.0	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	21.5	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	21.0	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	21.3	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	21.0	0.26
		60%	9 points	✓	21.3	0.26
		59%	9 points	✓	21.0	0.24
		58%	8 points	✓	22.0	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	23.7	0.19
		56%	6 points	✓	23.7	0.17
		56%	8 points	✓	21.7	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	25.0	0.14
		55%	7 points	✓	23.0	0.13
		54%	6 points	✓	24.0	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	26.5	0.10
		52%	3 points	✓	26.8	0.06
		50%	1 point	✓	29.0	0.00
		52%	1 point	✗	31.3	-0.05
		54%	4 points	✗	34.4	-0.13

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.