Sydney v Essendon
2024-03-23 19:30:00 +11:00
S.C.G.

19.17

131

15.11

101

Sydney won by 30 points

IN

Wicks

Fox

OUT

IN

Tsatas

Hobbs

Laverde

Hind

Draper

Redman

Guelfi

Kelly

Jones

Reid

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		76%	28 points	✓	1.5	0.61
Aggregate		78%	28 points	✓	1.8	0.64
		90%	47 points	✓	17.0	0.85
		89%	44 points	✓	14.0	0.83
		86%	38 points	✓	8.0	0.78
		84%	25 points	✓	4.8	0.75
		84%	32 points	✓	1.9	0.75
Punters		82%	29 points	✓	1.4	0.72
		81%	26 points	✓	4.5	0.69
		80%	30 points	✓	0.2	0.68
		80%	30 points	✓	0.2	0.68
		80%	30 points	✓	0.2	0.68
		80%	28 points	✓	2.5	0.67
		79%	26 points	✓	4.0	0.67
		79%	29 points	✓	1.0	0.66
		79%	21 points	✓	8.9	0.65
		78%	29 points	✓	0.8	0.65
		77%	38 points	✓	8.0	0.62
		76%	25 points	✓	5.2	0.61
		76%	35 points	✓	5.0	0.61
		76%	17 points	✓	13.0	0.60
		76%	22 points	✓	7.9	0.60
		76%	26 points	✓	4.5	0.60
		75%	24 points	✓	6.2	0.59
		75%	23 points	✓	7.0	0.58
		74%	27 points	✓	3.5	0.57
		74%	30 points	✓	0.0	0.57
		72%	33 points	✓	2.9	0.53
		64%	14 points	✓	16.0	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	16.2	0.34

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.