St Kilda v Collingwood
M.C.G.
14.10
94
12.7
79
St Kilda won by 15 points
IN
Sinclair
Crouch
OUT
IN
McInnes
Frampton
Mitchell
Hoskin-Elliott
Johnson
Dean
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 23.2 | -0.29 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.26 |
|
|
69% | 14 points | ✗ | 29.3 | -0.69 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 29.6 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 27.7 | -0.55 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 26.2 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 25.6 | -0.41 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 24.8 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 24.1 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 24.4 | -0.35 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 15.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.9 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.