Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
11.11
77
14.12
96
Geelong won by 19 points
IN
Keane
Soligo
Walker
Sholl
Gollant
Borlase
OUT
IN
Mannagh
Mullin
Parfitt
Atkins
Duncan
Bruhn
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 34.7 | -0.55 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.4 | -0.41 |
|
|
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 42.9 | -1.03 |
|
|
74% | 23 points | ✗ | 42.2 | -0.96 |
|
|
73% | 21 points | ✗ | 39.8 | -0.87 |
|
|
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 36.8 | -0.87 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
71% | 15 points | ✗ | 33.8 | -0.81 |
|
Punters
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.70 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 35.9 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 36.6 | -0.66 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 33.9 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 32.2 | -0.56 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 29.7 | -0.45 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 32.8 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 26.5 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✗ | 19.7 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.5 | 0.07 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.35 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.