Hawthorn v Melbourne
2024-03-23 16:35:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

5.8

38

14.9

93

Melbourne won by 55 points

IN

Maginness

Gunston

OUT

IN

Petty

Hore

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	21 points	✓	34.2	0.48
Aggregate		70%	19 points	✓	35.8	0.48
		79%	29 points	✓	26.0	0.66
		78%	29 points	✓	26.0	0.65
		78%	37 points	✓	18.0	0.64
		76%	35 points	✓	20.0	0.59
		75%	17 points	✓	38.4	0.59
		75%	20 points	✓	34.8	0.59
		75%	26 points	✓	29.0	0.58
		74%	21 points	✓	34.3	0.57
Punters		74%	22 points	✓	32.7	0.56
		73%	15 points	✓	39.9	0.55
		73%	25 points	✓	30.0	0.54
		72%	21 points	✓	34.0	0.52
		71%	17 points	✓	37.7	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	35.8	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	37.6	0.48
		69%	28 points	✓	27.5	0.47
		69%	20 points	✓	35.0	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	38.5	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	39.1	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	39.0	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	40.7	0.40
		65%	14 points	✓	41.4	0.39
		65%	13 points	✓	42.0	0.37
		63%	14 points	✓	41.0	0.33
		63%	12 points	✓	43.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	44.0	0.33
		57%	6 points	✓	48.8	0.20
		56%	6 points	✓	49.3	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.