Essendon v Geelong
2023-04-30 13:10:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

16.8

104

20.12

132

Geelong won by 28 points

IN

D'Ambrosio

Hobbs

McDonald-Tipungwuti

Hind

Merrett

Heppell

Laverde

Snelling

Menzie

Davey Jnr

OUT

IN

Knevitt

Bews

Guthrie

Tuohy

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		62%	11 points	✓	17.0	0.32
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	11.4	0.44
		86%	38 points	✓	10.0	0.78
		79%	27 points	✓	1.4	0.66
		77%	28 points	✓	0.3	0.63
		77%	12 points	✓	16.0	0.62
		76%	25 points	✓	3.4	0.61
		76%	29 points	✓	1.0	0.60
		75%	35 points	✓	7.0	0.58
		71%	17 points	✓	11.0	0.51
		71%	28 points	✓	0.0	0.50
		69%	18 points	✓	10.0	0.47
		69%	17 points	✓	10.7	0.47
		69%	14 points	✓	14.4	0.46
		67%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.43
		66%	12 points	✓	16.4	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	11.0	0.40
Punters		66%	15 points	✓	13.1	0.39
		66%	13 points	✓	15.2	0.39
		64%	13 points	✓	15.5	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	17.4	0.33
		60%	10 points	✓	17.9	0.27
		58%	8 points	✓	20.3	0.20
		56%	5 points	✓	23.3	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	23.5	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	23.2	0.13
		54%	3 points	✓	25.0	0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.