Melbourne v North Melbourne
2023-04-29 19:25:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

22.7

139

7.7

49

Melbourne won by 90 points

IN

Schache

Petty

OUT

IN

Coleman-Jones

Shiels

Simpkin

Davies-Uniacke

Howe

Phillips

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		90%	46 points	✓	44.0	0.86
Aggregate		89%	47 points	✓	42.9	0.83
		96%	56 points	✓	34.5	0.93
		95%	58 points	✓	31.9	0.92
		94%	61 points	✓	29.0	0.91
		94%	58 points	✓	32.0	0.91
		94%	48 points	✓	41.7	0.90
Punters		93%	50 points	✓	40.5	0.90
		92%	45 points	✓	45.2	0.88
		92%	52 points	✓	38.0	0.88
		92%	51 points	✓	39.3	0.88
		92%	45 points	✓	45.2	0.87
		91%	48 points	✓	41.8	0.86
		91%	44 points	✓	46.1	0.86
		90%	63 points	✓	27.0	0.85
		90%	55 points	✓	35.0	0.85
		89%	44 points	✓	45.6	0.83
		89%	40 points	✓	50.0	0.83
		88%	46 points	✓	44.0	0.82
		88%	37 points	✓	53.0	0.82
		85%	30 points	✓	60.4	0.77
		85%	38 points	✓	51.8	0.77
		85%	39 points	✓	51.0	0.77
		84%	39 points	✓	50.8	0.74
		82%	33 points	✓	57.0	0.72
		80%	64 points	✓	26.0	0.68
		79%	33 points	✓	56.7	0.66

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.