St Kilda v Port Adelaide
Docklands
11.10
76
12.11
83
Port Adelaide won by 7 points
IN
Williams
Burgoyne
Dixon
Marshall
Jonas
Farrell
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.37 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 17.9 | -0.41 |
|
|
77% | 24 points | ✗ | 30.9 | -1.10 |
|
|
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 25.4 | -0.90 |
|
|
70% | 8 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.73 |
|
|
69% | 20 points | ✗ | 27.2 | -0.69 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.62 |
|
|
67% | 12 points | ✗ | 18.7 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 20 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 21.3 | -0.58 |
|
Punters
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 19.3 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 21.5 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 18.3 | -0.47 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 15.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.5 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 9.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 9.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.