Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn
2023-04-29 16:35:00 +10:00
Docklands

14.10

94

9.11

65

Western Bulldogs won by 29 points

IN

McNeil

Smith

Liberatore

McLean

OUT

IN

Weddle

Ramsden

Ward

Day

Lewis

Macdonald

Grainger-Barras

Lynch

Mackenzie

Long

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		75%	24 points	✓	5.3	0.58
Aggregate		74%	24 points	✓	5.2	0.57
		86%	36 points	✓	6.8	0.78
		83%	29 points	✓	0.5	0.72
		82%	29 points	✓	0.0	0.71
Punters		80%	27 points	✓	2.0	0.68
		78%	28 points	✓	1.0	0.64
		78%	25 points	✓	4.1	0.64
		78%	32 points	✓	2.7	0.64
		76%	25 points	✓	4.0	0.60
		75%	25 points	✓	4.0	0.59
		75%	18 points	✓	10.5	0.59
		75%	23 points	✓	6.0	0.58
		74%	21 points	✓	8.0	0.57
		74%	24 points	✓	5.3	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	6.3	0.57
		74%	32 points	✓	3.0	0.57
		73%	21 points	✓	8.0	0.55
		73%	29 points	✓	0.0	0.54
		72%	28 points	✓	1.0	0.53
		72%	20 points	✓	9.2	0.52
		71%	19 points	✓	9.8	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	10.9	0.49
		69%	16 points	✓	12.7	0.47
		68%	15 points	✓	13.9	0.45
		66%	17 points	✓	12.0	0.40
		65%	15 points	✓	14.1	0.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.