Brisbane Lions v Fremantle
2023-04-29 13:45:00 +10:00
Gabba

17.13

115

10.7

67

Brisbane Lions won by 48 points

IN

Lester

Joyce

OUT

IN

O'Driscoll

Switkowski

Frederick

Wagner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		78%	28 points	✓	20.5	0.64
Aggregate		77%	26 points	✓	21.9	0.62
		85%	35 points	✓	13.2	0.77
Punters		85%	34 points	✓	14.1	0.76
		84%	31 points	✓	16.7	0.74
		84%	34 points	✓	14.2	0.74
		82%	26 points	✓	22.3	0.71
		82%	28 points	✓	20.2	0.71
		80%	29 points	✓	18.7	0.68
		80%	37 points	✓	11.0	0.68
		80%	9 points	✓	39.0	0.67
		80%	30 points	✓	18.0	0.67
		79%	29 points	✓	19.0	0.66
		79%	28 points	✓	20.0	0.65
		79%	26 points	✓	22.5	0.65
		77%	31 points	✓	16.9	0.63
		77%	37 points	✓	11.0	0.63
		77%	24 points	✓	24.0	0.62
		76%	26 points	✓	22.2	0.61
		74%	22 points	✓	25.5	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	25.5	0.57
		73%	19 points	✓	28.8	0.55
		72%	18 points	✓	30.0	0.53
		69%	26 points	✓	22.0	0.46
		69%	21 points	✓	27.0	0.46
		67%	18 points	✓	30.1	0.43
		64%	12 points	✓	36.3	0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.