Hawthorn v Essendon
M.C.G.
9.11
65
19.10
124
Essendon won by 59 points
IN
Greene
Mackenzie
Meek
Bramble
Reeves
Koschitzke
Impey
Worpel
Jiath
Wingard
Frost
Amon
Mitchell
O'Meara
Scrimshaw
McEvoy
Morrison
Nash
Howe
Gunston
Grainger-Barras
Lynch
Saunders
Long
OUT
IN
Davey Jnr
Menzie
Weideman
Phillips
Setterfield
Jones
Langford
Stringer
Hind
Wright
Guelfi
D'Ambrosio
Reid
Hurley
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 58.4 | 0.03 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 59.5 | -0.02 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 70.1 | -0.45 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 65.4 | -0.25 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 64.2 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 64.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 62.5 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 61.3 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 60.7 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 61.4 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 59.7 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 3 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 58.6 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 58.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 58.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 57.8 | 0.03 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 56.1 | 0.08 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 53.7 | 0.15 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
66% | 12 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.40 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 43.4 | 0.43 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.