Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
M.C.G.
17.13
115
9.11
65
Melbourne won by 50 points
IN
Chandler
Laurie
McVee
Tomlinson
Bowey
Hunter
McDonald
Grundy
Viney
May
Fritsch
Jackson
Salem
Hunt
Hibberd
Melksham
OUT
IN
Baker
Hannan
Bruce
Jones
Scott
Duryea
Lobb
Liberatore
Dunkley
Hunter
Weightman
Gardner
Cordy
Smith
Vandermeer
McLean
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 43.7 | 0.16 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.20 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✓ | 36.2 | 0.41 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 39.4 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.35 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 37.5 | 0.34 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.31 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 36.5 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✓ | 42.9 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 39.6 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 5 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 42.2 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 11 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.19 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 47.1 | 0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 47.7 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 49.5 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 50.5 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 58.4 | -0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.