Port Adelaide v Brisbane Lions
Adelaide Oval
18.18
126
11.6
72
Port Adelaide won by 54 points
IN
Rioli
Jones
Horne-Francis
Fantasia
McKenzie
Lycett
Boak
Finlayson
Amon
Gray
Burgoyne
McEntee
OUT
IN
McKenna
Ashcroft
Tunstill
Gunston
Dunkley
Zorko
McStay
Ah Chee
Gardiner
Answerth
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 47.9 | 0.19 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 47.4 | 0.20 |
|
|
74% | 23 points | ✓ | 31.4 | 0.57 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.49 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 41.7 | 0.37 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 42.6 | 0.32 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 44.4 | 0.32 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 44.9 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 1 point | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.27 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 46.4 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✓ | 49.6 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 49.2 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 49.5 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 50.1 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 49.1 | 0.13 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 51.7 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 54.3 | -0.01 |
|
Punters
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 55.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.