Greater Western Sydney v Adelaide
2023-03-19 13:10:00 +11:00
Sydney Showground

15.16

106

12.18

90

Greater Western Sydney won by 16 points

IN

Callaghan

Wehr

Daniels

Buckley

Idun

Flynn

Greene

Taranto

Hopper

Kennedy

Stein

Briggs

Brown

Aleer

OUT

IN

Michalanney

Pedlar

Rachele

Himmelberg

McAdam

Sloane

Rankine

Rowe

Murphy

McHenry

Jones

Thilthorpe

Parnell

Worrell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		59%	8 points	✓	7.7	0.23
Aggregate		61%	9 points	✓	6.7	0.28
		71%	5 points	✓	11.0	0.51
		70%	16 points	✓	0.2	0.48
		67%	14 points	✓	1.8	0.42
		67%	16 points	✓	0.0	0.42
		65%	19 points	✓	3.0	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	2.0	0.38
		63%	14 points	✓	2.0	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	4.0	0.34
		63%	18 points	✓	2.0	0.33
		62%	8 points	✓	8.1	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	6.2	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	6.0	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	6.6	0.28
		61%	10 points	✓	6.5	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	7.9	0.25
		60%	9 points	✓	6.6	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	9.0	0.23
Punters		58%	7 points	✓	9.1	0.22
		58%	11 points	✓	5.0	0.21
		58%	8 points	✓	8.1	0.21
		54%	3 points	✓	12.6	0.11
		54%	3 points	✓	13.0	0.11
		51%	1 point	✓	14.8	0.03
		51%	1 point	✓	15.0	0.03
		51%	1 point	✗	16.7	-0.02

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.