Geelong v Collingwood
M.C.G.
16.7
103
19.11
125
Collingwood won by 22 points
IN
Henry
Ratugolea
Bruhn
Holmes
Selwood
Duncan
Henry
Kolodjashnij
OUT
IN
Hill
McStay
Adams
Mitchell
Lipinski
Ginnivan
Bianco
Johnson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 36.9 | -0.54 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 41.3 | -0.75 |
|
|
87% | 38 points | ✗ | 60.1 | -1.94 |
|
|
85% | 27 points | ✗ | 48.6 | -1.70 |
|
|
79% | 29 points | ✗ | 50.8 | -1.25 |
|
|
79% | 30 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -1.25 |
|
|
76% | 21 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
75% | 13 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -1.02 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 45.5 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 24 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 26 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
72% | 29 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 41.4 | -0.81 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
71% | 26 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.77 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.61 |
|
|
66% | 19 points | ✗ | 41.3 | -0.56 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 33.7 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.43 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 31.7 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 33.8 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 32.4 | -0.39 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 32.7 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.32 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.