Hawthorn v Gold Coast
2019-08-18 16:40:00
Marvel Stadium

18.10

118

7.6

48

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 70 points

IN

Roughead

Gunston

McEvoy

Howe

Cousins

Lewis

OUT

IN

Horlin-Smith

Murdoch

Miles

Heron

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		89%	47 points	✓	22.6	0.84
		98%	59 points	✓	10.9	0.98
		96%	62 points	✓	7.5	0.94
		95%	62 points	✓	8.4	0.93
Punters		93%	57 points	✓	13.2	0.90
		93%	53 points	✓	17.0	0.90
		93%	48 points	✓	22.0	0.90
		93%	55 points	✓	15.0	0.90
		92%	50 points	✓	20.0	0.89
		92%	45 points	✓	24.9	0.88
		89%	48 points	✓	22.0	0.83
		87%	42 points	✓	28.0	0.81
		84%	35 points	✓	34.8	0.74
		81%	44 points	✓	26.4	0.70
		81%	20 points	✓	50.0	0.70
		81%	45 points	✓	25.0	0.70
		79%	34 points	✓	36.3	0.67

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.