Hawthorn v Gold Coast

Marvel Stadium

118

48

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 70 points

IN
Roughead
Gunston
McEvoy
Howe
Cousins
Lewis
OUT
IN
Horlin-Smith
Murdoch
Miles
Heron
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
89% 47 points 22.60.84
AFLalytics
Hawthorn
98% 59 points 10.90.98
Squiggle
Hawthorn
96% 62 points 7.50.94
Matter of Stats
Hawthorn
95% 62 points 8.40.93
Punters
Hawthorn
93% 57 points 13.20.90
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
93% 53 points 17.00.90
Massey Ratings
Hawthorn
93% 48 points 22.00.90
Swinburne
Hawthorn
93% 55 points 15.00.90
Graft
Hawthorn
92% 50 points 20.00.89
AFL Gains
Hawthorn
92% 45 points 24.90.88
Stattraction
Hawthorn
89% 48 points 22.00.83
The Arc
Hawthorn
87% 42 points 28.00.81
HPN
Hawthorn
84% 35 points 34.80.74
Fat Stats
Hawthorn
81% 44 points 26.40.70
AFL Lab
Hawthorn
81% 20 points 50.00.70
Footy Maths Institute
Hawthorn
81% 45 points 25.00.70
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
79% 34 points 36.30.67

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 22, 2019