Melbourne v Sydney
M.C.G.
5.12
42
15.5
95
Match complete
Sydney won by 53 points
IN
Chandler
Stretch
Hore
Spargo
Neal-Bullen
May
McDonald
Hunt
Baker
Petty
OUT
IN
Melican
Jack
Jones
McLean
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 54% | 5 points | ✗ | 57.5 | -0.12 | |
80% | 30 points | ✗ | 83.2 | -1.34 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 65.9 | -0.48 | ||
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 62.7 | -0.43 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 62.1 | -0.34 | ||
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 64.8 | -0.32 | ||
Punters | 57% | 6 points | ✗ | 58.8 | -0.20 | |
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.17 | ||
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.15 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.11 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 56.2 | -0.10 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.06 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.15 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.21 | ||
61% | 4 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.29 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.