Fremantle v Essendon
Perth Stadium
7.13
55
13.9
87
Match complete
Essendon won by 32 points
IN
Ballantyne
McCarthy
Banfield
Carter
OUT
IN
Zerk-Thatcher
Ham
Francis
Hurley
Parish
Saad
Hooker
Myers
Baguley
McNiece
Begley
Clarke
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 38.5 | -0.21 |
 |
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 48.2 | -0.64 |
 |
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.47 |
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.41 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.40 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
61% | 13 points | ✗ | 45.2 | -0.35 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.34 |
| Punters | |
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 39.4 | -0.26 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 37.4 | -0.16 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.13 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 35.1 | -0.10 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 33.8 | -0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.12 |
 |
|
57% | 3 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.