Adelaide v Collingwood
Adelaide Oval
6.12
48
17.12
114
Match complete
Collingwood won by 66 points
IN
Jones
O'Brien
Seedsman
Atkins
Knight
Otten
OUT
IN
Noble
Daicos
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 69.2 | -0.10 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 75.6 | -0.35 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 74.5 | -0.31 |
 |
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 75.0 | -0.29 |
| Punters | |
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 75.1 | -0.27 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -0.24 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -0.24 |
 |
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 75.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 70.7 | -0.14 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 69.9 | -0.12 |
 |
|
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 65.6 | -0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 65.0 | 0.02 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 64.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 61.0 | 0.12 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 61.5 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.